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Module 5 • African Geopolitics & Security2026-05-2016 min read

Africa in Geopolitical Transition: Sahel Military Blocs (Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger & AES), ECOWAS Fractures, Sudan Civil War & Great Lakes Conflict

Target Exam: UPSC & State PSCs World Current Affairs•Official Sources: World International State Gazettes, Budget & Official ReleasesUnited Nations, IMF, World Bank, Global Treaties & International Official Records

1. Sahel Upheaval & The Alliance of Sahel States (AES)

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ECOWAS Fracture & Military Alliances: Following consecutive military takeovers, Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger formally exited the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) in early 2024 and consolidated the Alliance of Sahel States (Alliance des États du Sahel - AES) into a confederation.
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Geopolitical Realignment:
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Expulsion of French counter-insurgency troops (ending Operation Barkhane) and US military drone bases (Agadez Base 201 in Niger).
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Expansion of Russian security assistance via the reorganized Africa Corps (formerly Wagner Group).
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Resource nationalism over critical minerals: Niger revoked operating permits for major French-owned uranium mines (Imouraren), while Mali revised its mining code to capture greater sovereign equity in gold extraction.
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2025 Coup Landscape (Anadolu / AU Data): Africa recorded two successful military coups in 2025 (Madagascar and Guinea-Bissau), alongside a foiled coup attempt in Benin, highlighting ongoing constitutional vulnerability.

2. Sudan Civil War: Humanitarian Catastrophe & Regional Spillover

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Belligerents & Frontlines: Erupted in April 2023 between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) led by General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) commanded by General Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo ('Hemedti').
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Devastation & Famine:
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Over 150,000 deaths and more than 12 million people internally displaced or pushed as refugees into Chad, South Sudan, and Egypt—creating the world's largest displacement crisis.
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Formal declarations of famine in North Darfur (Zamzam camp) and parts of Khartoum under IPC Phase 5 metrics.
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Widespread destruction of Port Sudan infrastructure and interruption of oil pipelines transporting crude from landlocked South Sudan to the Red Sea.

3. Great Lakes & The DRC-Rwanda Interstate Conflict

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M23 Rebellion & Eastern DRC Dynamics: The March 23 Movement (M23)—an armed rebel coalition operating across North Kivu province—captured key transit corridors around Goma.
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Interstate War Categorization (SIPRI 2026): SIPRI explicitly classified the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) vs. Rwanda conflict among the six active interstate wars in 2025, citing extensive direct military engagement and logistical backing by the Rwandan Defence Force (RDF).
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Strategic Mineral Nexus: Eastern DRC holds over 70% of global coltan (tantalum) reserves, alongside massive deposits of cobalt, copper, gold, and tin, critical to the global consumer electronics, aerospace, and energy transition supply chains.

4. Horn of Africa & Red Sea Chokepoints

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Ethiopia-Somaliland MoU: Landlocked Ethiopia signed a memorandum of understanding with the breakaway region of Somaliland to lease a 20-km strip of Red Sea coastline for a naval base and commercial port access (Berbera), triggering diplomatic confrontation with Somalia and the African Union.
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Djibouti: Remains the world's premier military outpost hub, hosting sovereign military bases for the United States (Camp Lemonnier), France, China, Japan, and Italy overlooking the Bab-el-Mandeb strait.
Key Examination Takeaways:
  • Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger withdrew from ECOWAS and established the Alliance of Sahel States (AES).
  • Africa saw two successful coups in 2025 (Madagascar, Guinea-Bissau) and an attempted coup in Benin.
  • Sudan civil war between SAF and RSF displaced over 12 million people with IPC Phase 5 famine in Darfur.
  • DRC-Rwanda interstate war centers around M23 rebels and eastern DRC's massive coltan/cobalt mineral wealth.
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Q1

Which three West African countries jointly withdrew from ECOWAS to form the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) confederation?

Q2

According to reports by the African Union and international agencies, which two African nations experienced successful military coups in 2025?

Q3

The ongoing civil war in Sudan is being fought between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and which paramilitary organization?

Q4

Which strategic mineral, abundant in eastern DRC and indispensable for manufacturing capacitors in smartphones and electronics, is commonly known as coltan?

Q5

Which rebel group operating in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo has been at the center of the conflict involving neighboring Rwanda?

Q6

With which breakaway territory did landlocked Ethiopia sign a controversial 2024 Memorandum of Understanding to secure 20 km of Red Sea coastal access?

Q7

Which small nation in the Horn of Africa strategically hosts foreign military bases for the United States, China, France, Japan, and Italy?

Q8

Following its military takeover, which country revoked operating permits for major French nuclear group Orano at the Imouraren uranium mine?

Q9

According to United Nations humanitarian assessments, approximately how many people were internally displaced or forced into refugee status by the Sudan Civil War by 2026?

Q10

With reference to the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) formed by Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger, consider the following statements: 1. The member states have coordinated joint security operations and established a confederation outside of ECOWAS. 2. The alliance has shifted its external security partnerships away from France towards the Russian Federation. 3. All member states of the AES possess coastlines along the Gulf of Guinea providing direct maritime trade access. Which of the statements given above are correct?

Q11

Consider the following statements regarding the geopolitical and economic dimensions of eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC): 1. Eastern DRC contains significant global reserves of coltan, cobalt, copper, and tin. 2. The conflict in eastern DRC involves the M23 rebel movement and tensions with neighboring Rwanda. 3. The International Court of Justice has ruled that multinational corporations are legally exempt from due diligence rules regarding conflict minerals. Which of the statements given above are correct?

Q12

With reference to the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), consider the following statements: 1. It was established by the Treaty of Lagos in 1975 to foster economic integration across West Africa. 2. It maintains a regional peacekeeping and intervention military mechanism known as ECOMOG. 3. The headquarters of ECOWAS is located in Johannesburg, South Africa. Which of the statements given above are correct?

Q13

Consider the following statements regarding the geographical and strategic importance of the Horn of Africa: 1. It comprises countries including Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, and Somalia. 2. It overlooks the Bab-el-Mandeb strait, which connects the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. 3. Ethiopia is the only nation in the Horn of Africa with direct access to sovereign deepwater maritime ports. Which of the statements given above are correct?

Q14

With reference to the humanitarian crisis in the Darfur region of Sudan, consider the following statements: 1. Darfur borders the neighboring countries of Chad, the Central African Republic, and South Sudan. 2. Famine conditions classified as IPC Phase 5 (Catastrophe) have been confirmed in displaced person camps in North Darfur. 3. The conflict in Darfur is entirely localized with zero involvement of international aid agencies or regional actors. Which of the statements given above are correct?

Q15

Consider the following statements regarding the African Union (AU) and its constitutional stance on unconstitutional changes of government: 1. The Lomé Declaration (2000) and the African Charter on Democracy, Elections and Governance mandate the suspension of states experiencing military coups. 2. The African Union suspended the membership of Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, and Guinea following their respective military takeovers. 3. The African Union maintains a permanent seat with veto power in the United Nations Security Council. Which of the statements given above are correct?